Market Prediction Central

PRMIA - Setting the standard in global risk management education and professional certification.

There are currently over 2,475 global candidates from 98 countries pursuing their PRM^TM certification.

Deloitte international consulting firm's recent excerpt from a risk related career position opening "... we actively support our people gaining externally recognized qualifications such as PRMIA."

iShares MSCI Japan Index (EWJ) - Daily Market Vectors (12-11-2007)

S&P 500 SPDRS (SPY) - Daily Market Vectors (12-12-2007)

+8.8% unlevered return in after-hours trading since yesterday's post (1-24-2008)

+6.1% unlevered return in after-hours trading since yesterday's post (1-24-2008)

S&P 500 SPDRS (SPY) - Daily Market Vectors (1-23-2008)

S&P 500 SPDRS (SPY) - Daily Market Vectors (1-31-2008)

S&P 500 SPDRS (SPY) - Daily Market Vectors (2-5-2008)

iShares MSCI Japan Index (EWJ) - Daily Market Vectors (2-27-2008)

Subscribers only are alerted to this real-time Market Intelligence ( ) - Daily Market Vectors (4-3-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = UltraShort Financials (SKF) - Daily Market Vectors (4-11-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) - Daily Market Vectors (4-11-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update =Mexico Index Fund (EWW) - Daily Market Vectors (4-11-2008)

Did your lagging indicators raise advanced awareness to the most recent major market index reversals? Note the confluence of this site's leading Market Vector indicators.

Ex post Subscriber Update = S&P 500 SPDRS (SPY) - Daily Market Vectors (4-17-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = Ultra S&P500 (SSO) - Daily Market Vectors (4-17-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = Midcap SPDRS (MDY) - Daily Market Vectors (4-17-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = UltraShort QQQ (QID) - Daily Market Vectors (4-17-2008)

Bill O'Reilly circa 4-23-2008 believes one person (or one cartel) sets the price of oil, and oil companies should be punished for making such high profits. Granted, he is a well informed intellectual on a plethora of topics, but ...

Suggestion: Read any basic economics text. It's called market prices being determined by basic supply and demand forces. There is no Wizard of "Crude" Oz in control of a magic price lever. Never has Bill O'Reilly come this close to being crowned with his own "Pinhead" distinction.

Ex post Subscriber Update = Diamonds ("SPY vs. SPY" DIA) - Daily Market Vectors (4-29-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = Gold Miners ETF (GDX) - Daily Market Vectors (5-6-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = S&P500 E-mini Futures (ES) - Daily Market Vectors (5-8-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = Rough Rice Futures (NR) - Daily Market Vectors (5-8-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = U.S. Dollar Futures (DX) - Weekly Market Vectors (5-8-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = Ultra QQQ ProShares (QLD) - Daily Market Vectors (5-15-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID) - Daily Market Vectors (5-15-2008)

Ex post Subscriber Update = iShares MSCI MIF (EEM) - Daily Market Vectors (5-15-2008)

The free real-time access to this website's market intelligence is expired. Only ex post Market Vectors are currently displayed with all leading Market Vector indicators removed from these postings. Ex ante market intelligence based on proprietary Market Vector technology is available by subscription only ($70K annually).

on cease to be in real-time and will only be available to the non-retail

Click here - To order real-time daily updates of the following market intelligence. Non-subscribing site visitors maintain free access to markedly delayed updates.

C-Level Execs

Entertaining the idea of loading up on your company's stock? ... taking some profits? ... floating some new stock? ... repurchasing some "cheap" equity? I personally model and forecast firms' stock daily market fluctuations on an annual subscription basis. CEO/CFO/CIO/CRO's only contact me directly for this new, market intelligence service.

QQQQ Market Intelligence Predictive Model

Recent Market Intelligence Equity Curve Update - Cont'd All-time Hypothetical Equity High

Last Updated Free in Real-time

August 15, 2007 at Market Close

(Next free delayed update - No earlier than September 30, 2007)

QQQQ Equity hypothetical market positions at MOC (Position size = 1 Share)

Cocoa and Coffee came extremely close to each completely fulfilling their respective 13DPH (9DPH actual) and 10DPL (8DPL actual) forecasted reversals.

A 5DPL and a 10DPL are now overdue and a 10DPH remains premature at present. If correct, KC should increase a minimum of 5.4% during the coming week.

The aforementioned Crude Oil conditional prediction was again invalidated as the conditional portion of the forecast went unfilled, though the market is now much closer to confirming a change of trend. The next six (6) weeks should be considered bullish unless the market proves the trend has changed. This trigger for a major change of trend downward basically entails the market trade below 61.64 (June 2007 new front-month contract) at any time next week (This is not a forecast that it will trade below that value next week, merely the necessary condition to warrant a major decline has likely initiated). If this occurs, look for at least six (6) weeks before a 5WPL takes hold.

The currency (FX/DX) related forecasts were not correct.

A 5DPL and 10DPL are both expected today or tomorrow in KC, so today's decline was no surprise. A new 10-day low was established today on a reverse-adjusted basis. This weekend's 10DPH for KC is unchanged. The bullish forecast remains intact.

A 10DPH in KC should not occur at anytime within the next month. On net and allowing for some pullbacks, color Coffee bullish.

Prediction Recap

The 2nd of 2 back-to-back e-mini S&P500 forecasts (3-24-2007 and 3-31-3007) proved correct - "a minimum of 10 days of an upward market bias"

ES 4-13-2007 Forecast Result

The Euro set a new recent high Friday, the final day of the window projected on 3-31-2007 for a 13DPH market reversal.

Euro 3-31-2007 Forecast

Cocoa now needs only 4 more days to correctly fulfill the 3-24-2007 forecast for a 13DPH reversal.

CC 3-24-2007 Forecast CC 4-13-2007 Forecast Result

Coffee remains on track to fulfill the 4-3-2007 forecast for a 10DPL reversal.

KC 4-3-2007 Forecast KC 4-13-2007 Forecast Result

The DX forecast last week is now overdue after falling slightly over 1/2 index point since the forecast.

The aforementioned Crude Oil conditional prediction was again invalidated as the conditional portion of the forecast went unfilled. However, the next seven (7) weeks should be considered bullish unless the market proves the trend has changed. This trigger for a major change of trend downward basically entails the market trade below 61.64 (June 2007 new front-month contract) at any time next week (This is not a forecast that it will trade below that value next week, merely the necessary condition to warrant a major decline has likely initiated). If this occurs, look for at least seven (7) weeks before a 5WPL takes hold.

Prediction Recap

The e-mini S&P500 3-24-3007 forecast proved correct.

ES 3-24-2007 Forecast ES 4-6-2007 Forecast Results

Thus far, the Euro is tracking the 3-31-2007 prediction to the tee. The projected 13DPH market reversal should occur on last week's closing bar through the next 6 trading days.

Euro 3-31-2007 Forecast Euro 4-6-2007 Forecast Results

Corn falls 13% shortly after the bearish forecast on 3-27-2007.

C 3-27-2007 Forecast C 4-6-2007 Forecast Result

Cocoa remains on track to fulfill the 3-24-2007 forecast for a 13DPH reversal after this week's single-day 6% market decline.

CC 3-24-2007 Forecast CC 4-6-2007 Forecast Result

Coffee's 4-3-2007 forecast for a 10DPL remains in play.

The aforementioned Crude Oil conditional prediction was again invalidated as the conditional portion of the forecast went unfilled. However, the next eight (8) weeks should be considered bullish unless the market proves the trend has changed. This trigger for a major change of trend downward basically entails the market trade below 58.80 at any time next week (This is not a forecast that it will trade below that value next week, merely the necessary condition to warrant a major decline has likely initiated). If this occurs, look for at least eight (8) weeks before a 5WPL takes hold.

Highly probable a 10DPL reversal will occur in KC yesterday to next Monday.

April 2, 2007 Forecast Update

CC falls over 6% today, likely initiating the projected 13DPH.

CC 4-2-2007

April 1, 2007 Forecast Update

Corn goes "limit-down" again to open the Sunday night trading session - down over 10% in just 2 trading days. Non-linear cycle analysis indicates the carnage isn't over yet.

Prediction Recap

The final of the two (2) OJ predictions proved correct as the market quickly fell 10% upon establishing its predicted 5DPH.

OJ 3-17-2007 Forecasts OJ 3-31-2007 Forecast Results

C goes limit-down two (2) days following the special midweek update predicting continued short-term market weakness (5% single-day market decline).

C 3-27-2007 Forecast C 3-31-2007 Limit-Down Results

CL conditional prediction was invalidated as the conditional portion of the forecast went unfilled. However, the next nine (9) weeks should be considered bullish unless the market proves the trend has changed. This trigger for a major change of trend downward basically entails the market trade below 58.80 at any time next week (This is not a forecast that it will trade below that value next week, merely the necessary condition to warrant a major decline has likely initiated). If this occurs, look for at least nine (9) weeks before a 5WPL takes hold.

ES correctly experienced anticipated "initial weakness" during the past week. The ensuing "upward bias" remains and is forecast over the next (10) days as a minimum.

Euro market action during the week revealed new clues that the next possible 5DPH is infeasible in the next few days. By basic definition, this eliminates the possibly of a 13DPH in the same few days. At this point, all we know is the next 13DPH is extremely likely within the next 10 trading days - no significant information to act upon.

CC prediction is still pending.

Likely additional near-term downside in C. A 5DPL is unlikely over the next two (2) weeks.

If CL trades below 58.80 this week, look for an extended multi-week market decline. Specifically, if the defined market price is violated this week, a 5WPL (5-Week Pivot Low) will likely not occur within the next ten (10) weeks.

CC appears on track for a 13DPH within the next week and a half.

CC 3-24-2007 Forecast

Nice chance the Euro will encounter a 13DPH last Wednesday to next Wednesday.

ES appears to be short-term "upwardly biased" over the next couple of weeks with the very real possibility of some initial weakness.

Prediction Recap

The two (2) OJ predictions appear to be dead-on as depicted below, while two of three of the ES/EN forecasts proved correct. Specifically, the volatility components of the forecast (magnitude and time) were correct in that the markets moved over 2% within the brief timeframe predicted, while the direction was not. The RB forecast was quickly and correctly rescinded prior to the upward market move. The short-term S bearishness did not prevail.

OJ 3-17-2007 Forecast OJ 3-17-2007 Forecast Result